26 Jan 2010

Apology to Wall Street

Just how strong the Anti-Wall Street feeling is can be seen from this article on - of all places - Marketwatch. Is it not time that someone listens? (or is everyone AWOL in Davos?)

21 Jan 2010

Austria: Back to the Past

Austria demonstrates that political control of banking institutions by no means assures that banks are managed in a responsible fashion. Numerous banking problems during the past 30 years (Laenderbank, Bawag, Kommunalkredit, Bank Burgenland) prove this point. The most recent example of a bank that was the plaything of politicians and got into trouble while the regulators turned a blind eye is the Hypo-Alpe-Adria Group in the southern province of Carinthia. The bank had to be rescued by the Federal Government in December 2009 and to cap it all two members of the political establishment have now been appointed to the supervisory board. Plus ca change....

17 Jan 2010

Michael Mayo Testimony - Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission January 2010

Nobody has the time to read everything of relevance - but occasionally we like to the highlight little gems such as Michael Mayo's testimony to the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission.

10 Jan 2010

Banking Reform - 2009 a year of lost chances

News that the former CEO of AIG, Hank Greenberg, is trying to have the regulators and politicians look into the circumstances of the bailout of AIG in the autumn of 2008 is just one symptom that the after-effects of the 2008 banking crisis will be with us for quite some time. Most of the ongoing problems can be traced back to the fact that bail-outs were executed in an arbitrary fashion devoid of any principle and in addition there was no democratic oversight. At least the citizens of Iceland have a say in the (non)payment of the bailout money they are asked to contribute to. In the past year there has been zero progress towards creating a banking system that does not explicitly or implicitly rely on future bailouts by the taxpayers. We are not confident that 2010 will bring more progress.

10 Dec 2009

Productive vs Unproductive Lending

Interesting comment by Bob Prechter about US Banks growing lending to consumers at the expense of lending to business.

9 Dec 2009

Legality of Windfall taxes doubtful

We all wonder about the absurdity of some claims about discrimination, unfair treatment etc but one thing appears to be clear: the practice of putting windfall taxes on certain individuals just because they earn their living in a certain industry will no longer be meekly accepted now that deference to authority is no longer existent. We will watch with interest how the courts deal with law suits brought against discriminatory taxes on incomes earned by workers in the banking (and related?) industries. The Pre-Budget speech by Alistair Darling is certainly good news for one section of the UK population: the lawyers!

PS: Tax on bankers' bonus 'would infringe human rights' (The Times) You read it here first!

21 Nov 2009

BayernLB: State-owned Banks no solution

The sorry state of Bayern LB demonstrates that public ownership of banks is no solution to the problem posed by banking supervision. While a large part of the BLB's losses are due to the sub-prime credits generated in the US a not insignificant part is due to mistakes made by management - in particular the ill-fated acquisition of Hypo-Alpe-Adria just at the beginning of the Credit Crunch in Spring 2007.

20 Nov 2009

Democracy and Bank Bailouts

The lack of democratic control is an all-pervasive defect of modern societies. More and more decisions are made by technocrats and a political class that writes its own rulebook without reference to the citizens. The regulation - or its lack - of the banking system is a perfect example. Just imagine what a system would have to look like that is subject to democratic control. Every subsidy would have to be approved in a referendum. Does anyone think the ginormous amount of taxpayer money would have been approved? We all know the answer and as a consequence the banking system would have to be completely overhauled and made literally bombproof. It can be done - if the will is there. But it is not possible to guarantee every penny that is deposited with banks. There will have to be a split into super-safe banks (strictly controlled, offering low but safe custody of money balances) and a larger sector where the value of deposits can fluctuate in emergencies (similar to the value of any bond).

19 Nov 2009

London: hellbent on destruction

Not enough that the town is still - despite the collapsing Pound Sterling - expensive, that public transport may not get better in a time span that is relevant for those now working and living in the City, that taxes and regulations become more and more Kafkaesque by the day, the legal system is doing its utmost to destroy the image of London as a free and liberal environment by catering to absurd claims for discrimination and harassment. The way to riches seems to lead through the (suitably named) employment 'tribunals' which can at best be described as kangaroo courts at worst as worthy successors to the trials of the inquisition.

18 Nov 2009

Patent for Investment Methods

News that Research Affiliates has been granted a US patent for an indexing methodology that selects and weights securities using fundamental measures of company size, such as dividends and sales should set alarm bells ringing in investor circles the world over. While the ruling only affects the United States there is the danger that US law gains ex-territorial reach or gets copied by other legislatures.
Granting a patent on an investment methodology is akin to granting a patent to the first person that has opened a self-service supermarket. It is nonsense and makes a mockery of the true purpose of patent protection for technological and medical innovations.