Showing posts with label Brexit. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Brexit. Show all posts

31 Oct 2017

MIFID: Now the Tax Man wants to have his cut

Just when you thought the 1000+ pages MIFID nonsense could not get any worse this news hits the wire. Could it be that it was all along the main purpose of this unnecessary and counterproductive EU edict to create new tax raising opportunities for the voracious appetite that quasi-democratic politicians so desperately are looking for? Just one more reason to make it more attractive for the Financial Service Industry to decamp to friendlier climes, such as New York, Dubai, Singapore. Maybe a successful Brexit will make Britain to abolish this convolut.
Bloomberg

13 Sept 2017

MUFG said to pick Amsterdam for Securities Base after Brexit

The Securities Diaspora gathers pace. There is only the little problem of human 'resources' to consider. While Japanese and Expats from other countries (less so) can be shifted quite easily - how about the workforce that has its roots in London? And how easy will it be to find willing recruits in London, Paris or other centres that will consider job offers in a smaller regional centre - however brilliant some aspects or life might be there? And managing dispersed teams all over Europe will be a major challenge for management!
(Bloomberg)

30 Aug 2017

London Job Losses: Trickle rather than Bleeding

One always had to wonder why Deutsche Bank needs 9000 people in London, or HSBC needs 43000 in the UK. Was that not always padded by quite a bit or over staffing? Given the arrival of Fintech and the plummeting cost of communicating with low-cost centres there was always the prospect of job diversion, especially in support roles. Globalisation also means that other centres such as Dubai, Singapore, Shanghai etc would grow in stature and staff would be relocated closer to customers and markets.
In the opposite direction there are forces that might in the long run strengthen the role as hub and nerve centre coordinating and directing the regional centres. Higher Value-added roles might well be concentrated in the UK - if politics and regulation are creating a business-friendly environment.

https://www.cnbc.com/2017/08/29/bank-jobs-are-bleeding-out-of-london--and-brexit-hasnt-even-kicked-in-yet.html

29 Aug 2017

London Job Losses - trickling rather than bleeding

One always had to wonder why Deutsche Bank needs 9000 people in London, or HSBC needs 43000 in the UK. Was that not always padded by quite a bit or over staffing? So large banks move dozens or even hundreds of jobs, dispersed in various regional centres? Given the arrival of Fintech and the plummeting cost of communicating with low-cost centres there was always the prospect of job diversion, especially in support roles. Globalization also means that other centres such as Dubai, Singapore, Shanghai etc would grow in stature and staff would be relocated closer to customers and markets.
In the opposite direction there are forces that might in the long run strengthen the role as hub and nerve centre coordinating and directing the regional centres. Higher Value-added roles might well be concentrated in the UK - if politics and regulation are creating a business-friendly environment.
https://www.cnbc.com/2017/08/29/bank-jobs-are-bleeding-out-of-london--and-brexit-hasnt-even-kicked-in-yet.html

13 Jul 2017

Impressions from Paris - Europlace Conference

This year more than in other years this annual event was to be interesting given the fact that Brexit is in full swing (or not if you listen to Remainers and assorted moaners). So the lack of a strong attendance by non-French visitors was a surprise. Naturally the locals did their best to put Paris in a good light. Not so sure about the 'City of Love' as some panelists did not forget to mention. But then why has prostitution then be made illegal in 2016? Cannot be so good for love!
On a more serious note one has to accept that Paris was a large financial centre before Brexit. How much it will be able to add now is not so clear. Most market professionals may speak English so incoming staff may be able to fit in, but their private lives may not be so easy. Nice property is as expensive as in London, and finding a house with garden will be a struggle. And giving preferential tax treatment to financial staff - and only the heavy hitters among the foreigners - may not go all too well with 'Fraternite' as it is a blatantly discriminatory law (do the EU and the ECJ dare to intervene?)
Dublin, Frankfurt are already busy nibbling on London's cake and only time will tell how much they can grab. Will financial firms be more efficient if they spread themselves thin all over Europe? Communication is cheap, but lack of face-to-face interaction will do little to improve either the work climate or coordination.

7 Jul 2017

EU Regulators Take Aim At London's Asset-Management Industry

No surprise there, EU is basically a protectionist racket, dominated by socialist parties and lobbies, where even pseudo right wing parties are praying from the same hymn sheet and embrace big government. Also means that the UK has to negotiate harder, I suggested a while ago that if local production would be required for asset management services then the same rule should be applied to manufactured goods. So come on BMW, Daimler, start producing in the UK. And someone has to tell the Eurocracy: keep your MIFID and Financial Transaction Tax nonsense!
EU Regulators Take Aim At London's Asset-Management Industry

1 Jun 2017

EU wants a ban on UK firms setting up Brexit shell companies

So what is supposed to be a 'Shell Company'? Are the Eurocrats going to prescribe the exact number of jobs that have to be hired by a subsidiary? As I repeatedly said - starting in Feb 2016 - one has to look at the different business lines in detail. M+A businesses are quite often already on the ground in the 'Rest EU'. One office should be enough, same can be said for most other finance businesses.
EU wants a ban on UK firms setting up Brexit shell companies

15 May 2017

EU: Free Trade only when Eurocrats like it?

Talk about EU being a bastion of Free Markets is Rubbish! Services - the growing part of advanced economies - are carefully excluded where it suits the Eurocracy. So banning Euro Clearing from being handled in the City of London is a blatant slap in the face of Free Trade. Let's call a spade a spade and not pussyfoot around with these hypocritical ideologues - be they called Merkel, Macron or Juncker!
The City of London After Brexit Isn't Just About Jobs - Bloomberg

10 May 2017

Regulation: Race to the bottom?

If rules are interpreted so 'flexibly' in the USA it will be interesting to see how 'Europe' reacts (if the sleepy bureaucrats there even notice or care). Apart from the problem that Brexit will soon loom over any regulation in 'Europe', the response could be either to loosen rules/interpretations as well or demand that US entities comply with stricter rules designed in Europe. And what if the UK goes for a laxer regulatory environment? Every bloc will try to help his financial firms or bloc those from the other blocs, interesting times indeed!
Who’s Watching Wall Street? The Feds Turn a Blind Eye to Goldman’s Game | The Fiscal Times

27 Apr 2017

Deutsche Bank: Bye Bye London? but not because of Brexit

The track record of the bank is nothing to write home about. The huge build-up in London, from an insignificant commercial branch in the mid 1980s - has probably cost more than it ever earned the bank. So move back 'home' may be sensible, but not because of Brexit!
DEUTSCHE BANK EXEC: We may need to move 4,000 UK staff to Europe because of Brexit

20 Apr 2017

SURVEY: 82% think more firms will set up in Europe because of Brexit

Nothing to worry about, if anything positive for UK as its firms will have to set their eyes on export markets in a more pro-active manner. Free of the cost of EU membership (mostly socialist redistribution to the unworthy) and regulation Britain should do well. Being ruled by one government rather than a committee of 27 should speed up decision making.
SURVEY: 82% of investors think more firms will set up in Europe because of Brexit

10 Apr 2017

France’s MinFin: London to lose Euro Clearing

Well, would not call this unelected bureaucrat 'prominent'. Arrogant would come to mind instead, but what is new? It is a tight clique that has France in it's grip, and the upcoming election will confirm the status quo. But as the Eurodollar market has demonstrated, the clearing cannot be controlled by administrative Diktat, even it the fawning Scribblerati don't have the guts or brains to point this out!
France’s finance minister Michel Sapin: London to lost euro clearing business - Business Insider

29 Mar 2017

Apocalyptic forecasts for UK Finance miss key points

I am tired to repeat the same old arguments (first published back in Feb 2016!) that Brexit is not the Armageddon that some predict. While some firms will boost their presence on the Continent London will benefit by being more open to the 'rest' of the World. Being in sole charge of policy the UK will be much more nimble than the multi-headed EU bureaucracy that has to satisfy 27 squabbling member states. And spreading staff all over Europe will do nothing for the efficiency of the (mostly) larger financial firms that de-emphasise London. Why triggering Brexit signals a long, slow bleed for the UK banking sector

28 Mar 2017

ECB's Sabine Lautenschlager on Brexit banking passport tests

Refreshing honesty from a perfect representative of the 'Deep State', German version. Fortunately the major banks - they are the ones who do the predominant share of Continental European business - are well established in relevant countries. So this is more empty posturing by a life-long bureaucrat that has to sing to the statist hymn sheet.
ECB's Sabine Lautenschlager on Brexit banking passport tests - Business Insider

Brexit will bring four types of market distress

There will be some adjustment period and it could be turbulent. Problem with Brexit is that the final terms are not known so planning for the time after is tricky. Reason to get on with it - not hang around until 27 countries, the Eurocrats and the EU Parliament make up their mind.
Brexit will bring four types of market distress: Portfolio manager

24 Mar 2017

Deutsche Bank is planning a new London HQ despite Brexit

No surprise to our readers! Having too many major hubs is a recipe for inefficiency! There is only one Hollywood as well!
Deutsche Bank is planning a new London HQ despite Brexit

21 Mar 2017

Frankfurt is in 'pole position' in the Brexit jobs race

Been there dozens of times for business, nice people, but if anyone believes it will take over as THE major financial center I have a bridge to sell....
Frankfurt is in 'pole position' in the Brexit jobs race

16 Mar 2017

London’s single market access will end with Brexit

No need to run scared, as I have stated earlier, an analysis of all business lines shows that the EU umbrella is not really that important. Major firms are already present in key locations on the Continent. In the long run a dynamic London financial centre serving the world without cumbersome regulations will win over Paris and Frankfort any time! And what about 'giving access' to London to banks/asset managers in the (doomed?) Eurozone?
London’s single market access will end with Brexit

16 Sept 2016

Brexit - Impact on London Financial Centre


Merchants of doom are let loose by the result of the Out side winning the EU Referendum in the UK. All sorts of comments are made by objective and less objective parties. The surprise referendum result shocked quite a few and as the Remain side was expecting a win the resulting reaction was also emotionally charged. And many in the business and financial community favored staying in the EU. That our 'friends' on the other side of the Channel are fighting to get as much of the financial business as they can should surprise no one. One only wonders why they are so keen on activities that the political and cultural 'Elites' on the Continent seem to keen to despise in any case.

But how much business is going to move away from London?

The Brexit impact will be crucially dependent on the skill with with the Exit negotiations are handled by the British Officials.

24 Jun 2016

Leave London? Cut your nose to spite your face!

Talk about major financial institutions leaving the City of London in the wake of the Brexit Vote do not throw a good light on the leadership (if one can call it that) of these firms. Most of them are already well represented in the other major financial centres in Europe. Coverage of local clients is handled by these branches and there is no reason to shift major resources to places like Madrid, Milan or Amsterdam, not even to Frankfurt or Paris (why would it be more efficient to cover France from Frankfurt if the major European hub is installed there?).